Mikinton
Well-Known Forumite
Part of the problem is separating the signal from the noise, and there's plenty of noise anyway even just counting deaths in hospitals without counting deaths in care homes as well.Seems the UK is only counting virus deaths that happen in a hospital, and leaving those in care homes etc. off statistics. Not worrying at all.
I said at the start if you don't test you can play it down, as you are acting based on available data. Anyone that's worked in statistics knows the best way to get the picture you want is to control how the question is asked.
Bare numbers are one thing, but I always like to see the trend. Here's the five point moving average following today's figure for deaths in the UK (563).
Note that the figure for March 25th is an estimate. They changed the reporting times on that day and it produced a significantly low figure.