General Election 2017

Mikinton

Mikinton

Well-Known Forumite
This may be a little early, but looking ahead to GE2022, it doesn't look like the proposed boundary changes will have gone ahead.

http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/9924

Nor would the proposed changes have made much difference to GE2017 it seems, at least in terms of numbers .... though with the result as close as it was, a slight shift in the balance might have had a disproportionate effect.

"Calculating how the votes cast at the 2017 election would have translated into seats using the proposed boundaries the Conservatives would have won 298 seats (19 less than currently), Labour would have won 244 (18 less than currently), the Lib Dems would have won 8 (4 less than currently), the SNP 30 (five less than currently), Plaid 2 (2 less than currently). As you can see, the Conservatives and Labour would lose about the same number of seats, but the Conservatives would have been nearer to an overall majority and once you’ve taken away Sinn Fein MPs, may have been able to avoid doing a deal with the DUP."
 
1JKz

1JKz

Well-Known Forumite
Mikinton said:
This may be a little early, but looking ahead to GE2022, it doesn't look like the proposed boundary changes will have gone ahead.

http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/9924

Nor would the proposed changes have made much difference to GE2017 it seems, at least in terms of numbers .... though with the result as close as it was, a slight shift in the balance might have had a disproportionate effect.

"Calculating how the votes cast at the 2017 election would have translated into seats using the proposed boundaries the Conservatives would have won 298 seats (19 less than currently), Labour would have won 244 (18 less than currently), the Lib Dems would have won 8 (4 less than currently), the SNP 30 (five less than currently), Plaid 2 (2 less than currently). As you can see, the Conservatives and Labour would lose about the same number of seats, but the Conservatives would have been nearer to an overall majority and once you’ve taken away Sinn Fein MPs, may have been able to avoid doing a deal with the DUP."
Click to expand...
What you trying to say?
 
1JKz

1JKz

Well-Known Forumite
John Marwood said:
Click to expand...
Again, missing image.
@Admin, any ideas why i may not be able to see this?
I'm convinced it's something technical my end, but any advice?

I'm sure it's a great image, summing something up in a controlled and jester-y type of way (#spesh as it's directed towards Miki lad), i need to see it!
 
tek-monkey

tek-monkey

wanna see my snake?
Mikinton said:
This may be a little early, but looking ahead to GE2022, it doesn't look like the proposed boundary changes will have gone ahead.

http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/9924

Nor would the proposed changes have made much difference to GE2017 it seems, at least in terms of numbers .... though with the result as close as it was, a slight shift in the balance might have had a disproportionate effect.

"Calculating how the votes cast at the 2017 election would have translated into seats using the proposed boundaries the Conservatives would have won 298 seats (19 less than currently), Labour would have won 244 (18 less than currently), the Lib Dems would have won 8 (4 less than currently), the SNP 30 (five less than currently), Plaid 2 (2 less than currently). As you can see, the Conservatives and Labour would lose about the same number of seats, but the Conservatives would have been nearer to an overall majority and once you’ve taken away Sinn Fein MPs, may have been able to avoid doing a deal with the DUP."
Click to expand...

I'm confused, how would they know how the people in the bit of the boundary that changes would vote? Or are they just basing it on how many move seats and what the average in that constituency was?
 
Gramaisc

Gramaisc

Forum O. G.
1JKz said:
Again, missing image.
@Admin, any ideas why i may not be able to see this?
I'm convinced it's something technical my end, but any advice?

I'm sure it's a great image, summing something up in a controlled and jester-y type of way (#spesh as it's directed towards Miki lad), i need to see it!
Click to expand...
The problem is definitely your end.

Clear your cache, restart and look again.
 
Mikinton

Mikinton

Well-Known Forumite
tek-monkey said:
I'm confused, how would they know how the people in the bit of the boundary that changes would vote? Or are they just basing it on how many move seats and what the average in that constituency was?
Click to expand...
I really don't know, I'm afraid. I guess the boundaries commission have a reasonable idea about how areas of the country vote based on general and local elections and they draw the dividing line between constituencies based on that. Presumably the guy who wrote the article is party to similar information.
 
tek-monkey

tek-monkey

wanna see my snake?
Mikinton said:
I really don't know, I'm afraid. I guess the boundaries commission have a reasonable idea about how areas of the country vote based on general and local elections and they draw the dividing line between constituencies based on that. Presumably the guy who wrote the article is party to similar information.
Click to expand...

I suppose I have the brexit data down to constituency, we'd just need the data down to polling station to be able to work out a proper figure (although still rough it'd be much closer than using current seats).

Stafford was 34098 Remain, 43386 Leave BTW.
 
1JKz

1JKz

Well-Known Forumite
Mikinton said:
Nothing really. I just though that, in the "General Election 2017" thread, forummers might be interested in how GE2017 might have turned out had the proposed boundary changes been in place.
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'Nothing really.'
Then why say it?

Hypothetical + Nonsensical = Waste of everyone's time.

I could go into why, if Labour were in power, we'd all (OK most, perhaps) stand a better chance of living in a far greater country over the next 2-5 years, longer even.
...but i won't.

What's done is done, and continues to be, done.

I'll have the Told-you-so starter and Go-cluck-yourself main, not sure yet what i'll have for dessert.
 
John Marwood

John Marwood

I ♥ cryptic crosswords
1JKz said:
'Nothing really.'
Then why say it?

Hypothetical + Nonsensical = Waste of everyone's time.

I could go into why, if Labour were in power, we'd all (OK most, perhaps) stand a better chance of living in a far greater country over the next 2-5 years, longer even.
...but i won't.

What's done is done, and continues to be, done.

I'll have the Told-you-so starter and Go-cluck-yourself main, not sure yet what i'll have for dessert.
Click to expand...

[url=https://postimg.org/image/ik55w882n/] [/URL]
 
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