Will UKIP Do Well in the General Election?

andy w

Well-Known Forumite
I can see three way fights in the South (outside London!) and the Midlands but in the North it could be straight Labour/UKIP contests.
 

Mikinton

Well-Known Forumite
I can see three way fights in the South (outside London!) and the Midlands but in the North it could be straight Labour/UKIP contests.
Yup.
Say in the last General Election, a constituency was 55% Cons, 45% Lab .... with the expectation before yesterday it would go to 45% Lab, 40% Cons, 15% UKIP in May (so a Labour GAIN). After yesterday, it could go 40% Cons, 35% Lab, 25% UKIP (so NO CHANGE). (With apologies to any LibDem supporters.)

Interesting times.
 

Withnail

Well-Known Forumite
UKIP is the 'acceptable face' of the bleeding BNP/EDL support - if you are happy with that, then go forth and be happy.

But do remember - you have no choice but to live with yourself.
 

Laurie61

Well-Known Forumite
forecast-1410101.png


http://electionsetc.com/latest-forecast/
 

Hetairoi

Well-Known Forumite
UKIP is the 'acceptable face' of the bleeding BNP/EDL support - if you are happy with that, then go forth and be happy.

But do remember - you have no choice but to live with yourself.

That is absolute rubbish, the only similarity is that they are both anti-EU!
 

Withnail

Well-Known Forumite
So the 5% fall in votes for the BNP between 2009 and 2014 is entirely unrelated to the 10% rise in votes for UKIP over the same period?

Nick Griffin said:
I've lost count of the number I've spoken to who say, 'We really like the BNP but we are voting Ukip because there is more chance they will stop immigration and send them all home'
 

tek-monkey

wanna see my snake?
Regarding the figures in that last post, has anyone calculated what % would go on pensions if the Government hadn't robbed the pension pots therefore removing all investment profits?
 

Laurie61

Well-Known Forumite
Regarding the figures in that last post, has anyone calculated what % would go on pensions if the Government hadn't robbed the pension pots therefore removing all investment profits?

It was only private pensions so he obviously thought it would not upset his voters? -

GORDON Brown was warned he would rob pension funds of nearly £12bn when he decided to bring in a tax on private pensions in 1997.
The Chancellor's raid on funds is widely blamed for creating the crisis which has left huge shortfalls in pension pots and forced hundreds of firms to wind up their final salary schemes.
Tony Blair is now considering raising retirement age to 67 or 68 to plug the gap left by Mr Brown's decision - which abolished tax relief on income from share dividends, a key source of cash for pension funds.
But Treasury documents, released following a Freedom of Information request by the Daily Mail, show Mr Brown was well aware of the devastating financial consequences this would have on those saving for their retirement.
Documents in the Treasury archive show the tax, introduced in the Chancellor's first Budget, could cut the income of private pension schemes by up to 10%.
It calculated that Mr Brown would be able to increase his own coffers, at the expense of savers, by at least £6.2bn in the first 20 months and £11.6bn over the first two and a half years.
Treasury officials were banking on a rise in the stock market to plug the gap left. Instead, share prices plummeted in 2001 and 2002 - leaving millions of workers facing the prospect of working longer to earn a decent retirement fund.
Experts believe the Treasury decision to target private pensions helped create the £75bn black hole in the private pensions schemes of Britain's top 100 companies.
Experts say that if the missing cash had been invested and earned income in the normal way, private pensions would be up to £100bn better off than they are today.

The Treasury refused to release the full background documents, memos and assessments behind the decision to tax pension funds on the grounds that 'there are obvious sensitivities about the release of this particular information'.



Read more: http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/...-cost-of-pension-fund-raid.html#ixzz3G1kG6TFo
 

Roland

Well-Known Forumite
Not quite sure how this thread got onto pensions (must be Mr Marwood's fault) but I gave up on pensions years ago when I realised that the lump sum I had invested was worth less fifteen years later than it was when I invested it!

If I get to retirement age (if there is a retirement age when I retire) then I will have to rely on the state to provide what they promised to provide when I started to pay my taxes and NI 40 years ago!
 

Withnail

Well-Known Forumite
Have you read UKIP's policy on immigration?
Somehow i have not quite got round to it...
If people are voting for UKIP expecting them to stop immigration they will be very disappointed!
Funnily enough that's exactly what NG said after saying what he said up there ^
after saying what he said up there ^ Nick Griffin said:
As there is not a hope in hell of that, people are going to be very disappointed when they find out what Ukip really stands for and that huge vote is going to come back to us.

Most of the voters are what the liberal elite call 'racist' - they want immigration stopped for good, the whole lot of them. They think they are going to get that with Ukip. They are not.
 

Withnail

Well-Known Forumite
UKIP is the 'acceptable face' of the bleeding BNP/EDL support ...
That is absolute rubbish, the only similarity is that they are both anti-EU!
You do realise there is a difference between what a political party 'stands for' and the support that that party receives?

No political party has any control over the people that lend it their support, do they not?

So is it really "absolute rubbish" to equate the surge in support for Ukip as part fuelled by a decline in support for the BNP?

Is it really "absolute rubbish" to suggest that Ukip present an "acceptable face" to voters unsure of voting for an overtly, as the soi dissant liberal elite would have it, 'racist' party?

Is it really "absolute rubbish" to suspect that the the support bleeding out of the BNP is in a direct line - a shot in the arm, if you will - infusing Ukip?

If you truly believe that any of this is "absolute rubbish"... then i would have to question your understanding of the word 'absolute'.
 
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